Personal Finance | 30 October 2024
Autumn Budget – what could it mean for your finances?
Tax reforms come in the shape of increased employer national insurance contributions, with lesser increases to capital gains tax and inheritance tax. Here is how new Chancellor Rachel Reeves’s first Budget could impact your finances.
Businesses are set to face higher costs after Chancellor Rachel Reeves unveiled increased employer national insurance contributions in the Labour government’s Autumn Budget on Wednesday. The Chancellor framed her decisions around the need to catalyse investment to deliver improved living standards, public services and a growing economy.
To help protect ‘working people’, the Chancellor announced increased borrowing and tax rises that were primarily focused on businesses and asset taxes rather than taxes that would affect a worker’s payslip.
Rises to capital gains tax were less than many speculated but will likely impact individuals with savings outside of an ISA or pension.
Irene Wolstenholme, Wealth Planning Specialist at Coutts, said: “With there being so much speculation in the build up to the Budget, we now have the details to start understanding the impact these changes will have on personal finances.
“The rise to employer national insurance contribution is expected to raise over £20 billion a year which should account for the majority of what the government wanted to raise. This has meant many of the other speculated changes did not come to fruition.”
HOW HAVE MARKETS RESPONDED?
Markets broadly responded positively to the Budget, said Lilian Chovin, Head of Asset Allocation at Coutts, with much of the announcements being ‘highly anticipated’.
Lilian explained: “In the build up to Wednesday, investors were focusing on how the government would balance announcing infrastructure investments, requiring increased borrowing without compromising fiscal stability.”
The positive market response suggests investors are more optimistic about the potential growth of the UK. The FTSE 100, which is comprised of globally focused companies, dipped -0.5% by the middle of the afternoon’s trading. However, the more domestically focused FTSE 250 climbed by more than 1.5% at one point – lead by economically sensitive companies like homebuilders, affirming some improving prospects in the future of the UK’s economy.
What does this mean for the UK economy?
The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) said that this Budget delivers a large, sustained increase in spending, borrowing and taxation.
UK economic growth forecasts by the OBR are more optimistic than those from the Bank of England and sees GDP to grow by 2% next year and 1.8% in 2026.
The OBR expects inflation to rise to 2.6% in 2025 and gradually come down to the central bank's 2% target by 2029.
How are our funds and portfolios positioned?
At Coutts, our stock holdings are positioned globally, enabling us to access opportunities worldwide. We continue to favour equities over bonds in light of solid US economic growth and company earnings.
Past performance should not be taken as a guide to future performance. The value of investments, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise and you may not get back what you put in. You should continue to hold cash for your short-term needs.
We're here to help, but please be aware that we cannot offer any tax advice. We recommend you contact an independent tax advisor to discuss your personal tax situation.
Tax reliefs referred to are those applying under current legislation which may change. The availability and value of any tax reliefs will depend on your individual circumstances.
Clients can find out more about our investment approach by speaking to their private banker.
The above article has been written and published by Coutts Crown Dependencies investment provider, Coutts.
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